Sources

Bo Cowgill- Google
Co-author of January 6, 2008 paper Bo Cowgill, Justin Wolfers (Wharton) & Eric Zitzewitz ( Dartmouth)

//"Abstract//

//In the last 2.5 years, Google has conducted the largest corporate experiment with prediction// //markets we are aware of. In this paper, we illustrate how markets can be used to study how an// //organization processes information. We document a number of biases in Google’s markets,// //most notably an optimistic bias. Newly hired employees are on the optimistic side of these// //markets, and optimistic biases are significantly more pronounced on days when Google stock is// //appreciating. We find strong correlations in trading for those who sit within a few feet of one// //another; social networks and work relationships also play a secondary explanatory role. The// //results are interesting in light of recent research on the role of optimism in entrepreneurial// //firms, as well as recent work on the importance of geographical and social proximity in// //explaining information flows in firms and markets."//

Jed Christiansen
Mercury's blog http://blog.mercury-rac.com/ Visit for explanations. Note reference to incentives in report of talk at University of Westminster Business School: http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2007/11/08/talk-at-the-university-of-westminster-business-school/ //Journal of Prediction Markets// article reporting his PhD research http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/ubpl/jpm/2007/00000001/00000001/art00003

Youtube video by Jed What is a Prediction Market? http://youtube.com/watch?v=9_MXvopRqps Youtube video by Jed How can I use a Prediction Market? http://youtube.com/watch?v=3BJqAHGjtsI

Robin Hanson
George Mason profile page:. http://hanson.gmu.edu/home.html Co-authored blog: http://robinhanson.typepad.com/overcomingbias/ Credited with the first enterprise prediction market in 1989 no less. Approaching 2 decades ago. http://www.midasoracle.org/2007/03/13/prediction-markets-timeline/ NYTimes article http://hanson.gmu.edu/PAM/press/NYT-3-11-06.htm

Chris Masse
http://www.midasoracle.org/ [|Enterprise prediction markets will be the next big thing when… hierarchies are flat.]

Andrew McAfee
Prediction Markets as part of Enterprise 2.0 http://blog.hbs.edu/faculty/amcafee/index.php/faculty_amcafee_v3/how_to_hit_the_enterprise_20_bullseye/

CONFERENCES
Consensus Point Hosted PM Event New York September 2007 Jenny Ambrozek attendee report posted to 21stCenturyOrganization blog:.http://c21org.typepad.com/21st_century_organization/2007/09/index.html

Academic Research
[|Journal of Prediction Markets]

DEL.ICIO.US
Jenny Ambrozek tags http://del.icio.us/sagenet/predictionmarkets?setcount=50

Victoria Axelrod tags http://del.icio,us/tameconsulting/prediction_markets